Is This Really a Bubble? Let’s Check the Math

StatsEdgeTrading

Everywhere you turn, someone’s calling for a market crash. But is the average stock actually in a bubble? Not even close.

QQQ is up big—but that’s seven names doing all the work. When you dig into the RSP, MDY, IWM? Flat to up modestly. Small and mid-cap stocks haven’t even broken out of old highs. That’s not what a bubble looks like.

In a real bubble, all assets lift together. Instead, tech’s ripping while financials, healthcare, and retail chop sideways. And when you go back to the dot-com crash? That took years to unfold—not overnight—and was tech-only too.

If this AI surge fades, we may see a rotation, not a collapse. That means opportunity—if you know where to look.

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