Markets vs. Govt Shutdowns: The Truth

StatsEdgeTrading

The U.S. government shut down—again. Here’s what that actually means for markets: not much.

Since the 1990s, shutdowns have been a non-event for equities. In the six most recent, average market returns were flat-to-positive, with 2018 even clocking a +10% gain during the shutdown. No edge, no fear.

Most importantly, the market looks forward, not at headlines. My AI-assisted breakdown showed that even one year out, markets tend to be green post-shutdown—mirroring the long-term bullish drift.

So what matters? Price action, algorithms, backtests. Not CNBC panels or Twitter fear loops.

This is your reminder: Quant beats vibes.

→ Focus on the real data.
→ Ignore the noise.
→ Trade what matters.

Check out the systems and stats that actually work:
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