Stats Edge by Michael Nauss CMT

Stats Edge by Michael Nauss CMT

Stats Edge Evening Note - 8/24/26

Shocking Relative Strength.

Michael Nauss CMT's avatar
Michael Nauss CMT
Aug 21, 2026
∙ Paid

Tonight’s free idea is MRVL 0.00%↑. The semis are starting to get hot again as the AI trade picks back up. We are looking to buy on a pullback with our stop near the last support zone. We exit on the first day that closes over a prior day’s high. We are trying to snag pullbacks on the strongest names out there.

MRVL - Marvell Technology Inc Common

Marvell designs data-infrastructure semiconductors: custom AI silicon, networking, and storage chips that power cloud data centers.

Entry limit: $220.19 - Stop: $166.53 (on a close)

Last close $237.04 (-5.6%) - volume 25.2M (20-day average 24.1M) - 52-week range $62.18 to $316.35 (-25% off the high) - ATR (14 days) $17.54

Mean Reversion. The most-watched names in the market get defended. This sleeve owns two doors into that bounce: a violent one-day hit inside a healthy longer-term uptrend, and a deep morning markdown on an already washed-out household name. Either way we are the standing buyer into the fear, out within days.

Tested 902 trades: 69% win rate, +5.49% average winner, -5.97% average loser, 2.02 profit factor, 6.92% CAGR over the 25-year test, $100k became 5.3x.

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