Stats Edge by Michael Nauss CMT

Stats Edge by Michael Nauss CMT

Stats Edge Evening Note - 8/27/26

AbCellera screens immune cells to find antibodies - ABCL is tonight's free idea

Michael Nauss CMT's avatar
Michael Nauss CMT
Aug 26, 2026
∙ Paid

The S&P 500 (SPY) edged up +0.02% to close at 766.08 while the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) gained +0.09% to 711.37. Industrials (XLI) led all sectors at +1.09%, while Health Care (XLV) lagged at -1.00%.

Inside tonight's sheet: 4 new orders - 3 Surge Pullback limits resting quietly below the market, waiting for Thursday's weakness to come to them; 1 Bull-Flag Momentum trigger armed above resistance that only fire if strength shows up. One of them - ABCL, tonight's free Bull-Flag Momentum setup - is open to everyone right below.

ABCL - AbCellera Biologics Inc Common

AbCellera Biologics is a Vancouver-based biotech that runs an antibody-discovery engine: it screens immune cells with high-throughput microfluidics and machine learning to find therapeutic antibodies, then partners with drug makers or advances its own internal programs. It is best known for co-discovering an early COVID-19 antibody treatment with Eli Lilly.

Entry stop: $12.50 - Stop: $10.99 (attached order)

Last close $12.24 (-2.1%) - volume 5.0M (20-day average 10.4M) - 52-week range $2.78 to $12.50 (-2% off the high) - ATR (14 days) $1.12

Bull-Flag Momentum. A stock shows exceptional power, then rests quietly without giving back its gains - the crowd that missed the move is waiting underneath. We buy the actual resumption of the advance - never the rest itself - and a structure under the rest period defines the risk. Low win rate, big winners - the math lives in the asymmetry.

How we trade it

Entry: This stock just showed exceptional power and has been resting quietly without giving back its gains. Our buy STOP sits above the market - no resumption of the advance, no trade.

Size: Put about 5% of your account into each name, up to 15 of them at once — the order basket lists the exact percent per name.

Exit: Let the winner run - the stop does the selling for you; your only job is to keep your resting stop at the price on the latest sheet. A position that merely stalls without stopping out gets sold at the open on Monday, October 5 - set a dated market-on-open sell for that date as the backstop.

Risk: The stop price on this card is a REAL resting order - enter it with the buy. It does not move during the day, but it is recalculated after every close - each night the sheet prints that name's new stop price and you set your resting order to match. It starts under the floor of the rest period, so a failed consolidation means a defined, modest loss taken automatically.

User's avatar

Continue reading this post for free, courtesy of Michael Nauss CMT.

Or purchase a paid subscription.
© 2026 Michael Nauss CMT · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture