Stats Edge by Michael Nauss CMT

Stats Edge by Michael Nauss CMT

Stats Edge Evening Note - 9/2/26

Astera Labs keeps AI chips talking to each other. Tonight's free idea is ALAB - the connector that suddenly lost the thread.

Michael Nauss CMT's avatar
Michael Nauss CMT
Sep 01, 2026
∙ Paid

Six days from tonight the book rolls to cash. On Monday, September 7 every open position gets closed, the portfolio starts flat, and the first Evening Note of the new era ships that evening with orders for Tuesday's open. Nothing about your subscription changes and nothing needs doing on your end. If you are holding positions from these sheets, they close with the roll like mine do.

Mean Reversion

ALAB - Astera Labs Inc Common

Astera Labs makes connectivity semiconductors for AI data centers - the retimers, smart cables and CXL controllers that keep GPUs, CPUs and memory talking at full speed.

Entry limit: $264.40 - Stop: $226.24 (on a close)

Last close $279.91 (-5.7%) - volume 3.4M (20-day average 3.7M) - 52-week range $100.27 to $483.02 (-42% off the high) - ATR (14 days) $19.11

3 more names trade this same setup tonight - they are in the sheet, with charts and prices.

Mean Reversion. The most-watched names in the market get defended. This sleeve owns two doors into that bounce: a violent one-day hit inside a healthy longer-term uptrend, and a deep morning markdown on an already washed-out household name. Either way we are the standing buyer into the fear, out within days.

User's avatar

Continue reading this post for free, courtesy of Michael Nauss CMT.

Or purchase a paid subscription.
© 2026 Michael Nauss CMT · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture