Stats Edge by Michael Nauss CMT

Stats Edge by Michael Nauss CMT

Tonight's free trade: A down day for HPE, limit beneath

Entry and exit, all free.

Michael Nauss CMT's avatar
Michael Nauss CMT
Nov 05, 2026
∙ Paid

The S&P 500 jumped 1.7% the day after the midterms, but computer hardware went the other way. HPE, the server and networking maker, fell almost 6%, and I would rather buy it a little lower, so the order only fills if the selling carries into Thursday.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise sells servers, storage, networking gear (including Juniper Networks) and hybrid-cloud services to corporations and governments, with a growing line of systems built for AI workloads. A liquid, fast-moving stock outside the Nasdaq-100, still in a long-term uptrend, just had a bigger-than-usual one-day drop for that stock. Tonight's free trade is a buy limit at $48.23, with the exit written out below.

The market on Wednesday

The S&P 500 (SPY) gained +1.65% to close at 766.81 while the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) lagged with a +0.97% rise to 691.95. Consumer Disc (XLY) led all sectors at +4.26%, while Energy (XLE) was the weakest at -4.74%.

Tonight's free trade: HPE

  • Entry: BUY LIMIT $48.23, day order

  • Stop: On the fill day's close; the sheet says if hit

  • Exit: Dated sell at the open Nov 9; target after a fill

If it never fills, it cancels itself and there is no trade.

HPE card: buy limit. Entry Limit $48.23, stop Fill-day close, size 6%, hold Up to 2 days, exit Target or 2 days.

How Wide Mean Reversion works

Liquid stocks outside the Nasdaq-100 that are still in long-term uptrends sometimes take a bigger-than-usual one-day drop. We rest a buy limit beneath the market for the snap-back. We get out fast: a profit target the session after the fill, or the open two sessions after it. Built in 2026 and tested back to 2001.

Tonight's Trade Sheet - 2026-11-05

Everything for tomorrow is in the trade sheet - every idea, the exact orders, and the exits on open positions. The workbook carries the same orders plus current holdings and the trade log, ready to sort or paste into a broker basket.

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