Stats Edge by Michael Nauss CMT

Stats Edge by Michael Nauss CMT

Tonight's free trade: TWST

he got caught agiain

Michael Nauss CMT's avatar
Michael Nauss CMT
Nov 12, 2026
∙ Paid

After hours tonight, stocks fell, and the fearless leader at NVDA 0.00%↑ got caught again. Feels like the market is overreacting here, but only time will tell. I am working now to see if there is any historical analogs to play here for loved names to get beat up so far so fast.

Stay tuned to your emails tomorrow, as if I find anything, I'll let you know before we need to take action.

Tonight's free trade: TWST

How to place it: enter a BUY LIMIT for TWST at $113.13, good for the day only - if it never fills, it cancels itself and there is no trade.

TWST card: buy limit. Entry Limit $113.13, stop Fill-day close, size 6%, hold Up to 2 days, exit Target or 2 days.

How Wide Mean Reversion works

Liquid stocks outside the Nasdaq-100 that are still in long-term uptrends sometimes take a bigger-than-usual one-day drop. We rest a buy limit beneath the market for the snap-back. We get out fast: a profit target the session after the fill, or the open two sessions after it. Built in 2026 and tested back to 2001.

One thing worth knowing

Wide Mean Reversion has losing years, just not many. In our test from 2001 to 2025, its trades added up to a gain in 23 of 25 years. The two losers came back to back, 2022 and 2023, and 2024 was a gain again.

Would you take this one? Hit reply and tell me how you'd play it. I read every reply.

Below the line: 4 more swing trades and 11 day-trade setups for Thursday, with the exact entry, stop and exit for each, plus the stops and exits on our 5 open positions.

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