When Equal-Weight Wins
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We just watched a proper unwind: equal-weight S&P (RSP) green while QQQ bled. The RSP/SPY ratio ripped all session—classic rotation out of mega-cap tech and into the “average” stock. COT positioning backs it up: pros crowded long NQ / short RTY are de-grossing, and that doesn’t finish in a day.
What it means: if you’re concentrated in large-cap tech, expect chop. Breadth-led markets often reward small caps/value while the big names cool.
What to do:
• Diversify across uncorrelated systems (pullback, mean reversion, momentum) and across instruments.
• Build two lists: large-caps you want on sale later, small-caps you’ll trim if this rotation overshoots.
• Let rules, not headlines, move the size.
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