Most people are trading wrong, and others are just lying to you.
The amount of bullshit in this industry is insane. TikTokers telling you one indicator is all you need. Gurus promising 10x your money every year, or worse, every month. Cherry-picked “track records” that only show winners. And that’s just the dishonest people.
Then there are the honest ones, and most of them are still misleading you, just unintentionally. They show you a real track record, but it’s three months long. Or six months. Or a year. That doesn’t prove a system works. It proves the system is hot in this regime. Markets give every style its day eventually. If you’re trading momentum and we’re in a momentum regime, you’ll print money, for a while. The only way to know whether that’s edge or luck is to watch the system survive the years that were built to break it. The bear markets. The sideways years. The volatility shocks. The regime changes.
Without that data, you don’t have a system. You have a streak.
If you want to see what that data actually looks like, I just published a free 12-page walkthrough of how I test these systems across 25 years and 16,681 trades, including the months they lost money. It's called The 25-Year Backtest. Free at letters.statsedgetrading.com — it'll land in your inbox the moment you sign up.
I’ve been working in the financial space since 2006. In that time I’ve traded with prop firms, hedge funds, and fintech companies. Along the way I earned my CMT, then my CAIA, then my CDMS, three designations that take years to earn and that almost no one in retail trading education holds. They don’t make me right. They just mean I had to defend the math, in writing, to people who knew what they were looking at.
The biggest thing I took from those 18 years isn’t a trade or a setup. It’s this: the traders and funds that survive long-term are systematic. The ones that disappear after a hot stretch are not. The difference isn’t who’s smarter. The difference is who’s running rules vs. who’s running gut.
That’s what led me to Stats Edge Pro. Let me start with what it’s NOT.
It’s not a chat room you need to hang out in all day.
It’s not me trying to be the hot guru of the year.
It’s not a course you take once and then you’re left on your own.
It’s not me promising you guaranteed profits I’d rather lose your subscription than make a promise I can’t keep.
What it IS:
Three systematic strategies, backtested through 25 years of data through 2000, 2008, 2020, and 2022.
Day trading, swing, and investment timeframes covered, so something is usually working in any market.
Fully data-dependent. No vibes. No “I have a feeling about this one.”
Public results. Every system’s win rate, drawdown history, and current performance is on the website.
There is no perfect system. A lot of people sell that fantasy. It doesn’t exist. My edge is that I run multiple systems with hold times spanning a single day to a full year, combining mean reversion, momentum, and pullbacks. When one is in drawdown, the others are usually working. That correlation profile is what 25 years of testing taught me, you can’t engineer it on three months of data.
Why 25 years? There’s an old trading saying: “Don’t confuse brains for a bull market.” Anyone can make money when stocks go straight up, even just buying an ETF. What matters is how a system performs when the world feels like it’s falling apart. That’s what protects the gains you made in the easy years.
For the record, every system in Stats Edge Pro has lost money. They’ve been in drawdown for stretches. The Pullback System had its worst stretch in 2023 when it was down 23%. The Investment System sat through a 19% drawdown across 2022. I publish those numbers because they’re the numbers. Anyone hiding their drawdowns is hiding what the system actually does.
Stats Edge Pro is not for everyone. If you believe the guru hype, want guaranteed returns, or think a few squiggly lines on a chart will beat the market, keep moving. This service won’t fit you and you won’t fit it.
Stats Edge Pro IS for:
Traders who’ve tried it all and gotten burned.
Working professionals who want a life instead of a screen.
Anyone who’s been burned by gurus and wants rigor instead.
Long-term thinkers who want to trade with rules, not feelings.
Traders who believe data makes better decisions than vibes ever will.
If that’s you, I built this service for you.
Pricing, no spin:
Pro — $149/mo or $1,499/yr. All three systems. Daily morning emails with entry prices, stops, and time stops. Real-time Discord alerts when prices hit. Sunday “Top 3 Setups” digest for time-pressed members. This is where most members are.
Elite (Founding member) — $3,000/yr. Everything in Pro, plus a 1:1 onboarding call in your first two weeks, priority response to questions, and quarterly Founders Roundtable invitations. Limited group so the access stays real.
Every paid plan comes with a 30-day money-back guarantee. Try Stats Edge Pro for a month, if it’s not for you, hit reply and I’ll refund your first month. No questions asked. Pause anytime. Cancel in two clicks.
The trading industry is mostly noise. I can’t fix the industry. But I can run one service that tells you the truth about its results, including the bad months, and lets you decide for yourself.
The systems are real. The drawdowns are public. The math goes back 25 years.
Start with the free emails. The first one drops the 25-Year Backtest walkthrough into your inbox. Read that. Read this Sunday’s market plan when it lands. Give yourself a month.
If it’s not for you, walk away knowing more than you did. If it is for you, Stats Edge Pro is $149/month with a 30-day money-back guarantee. No questions asked.
Read the free emails →
— Michael Nauss, CMT, CAIA, CDMS
Founder, Stats Edge Trading
Hi Michael — I recently started following your free trade ideas and noticed ALAB and AMAT were mentioned this week. I didn’t take either trade because neither pulled back to the suggested entry price, though both have made decent quick swings.
My question is: how important is the stated entry price to your trade setup? Do you generally recommend passing on the trade if the stock does not reach that level, or are there circumstances where you would still consider entering at a different price.