Sitemap - 2026 - Stats Edge by Michael Nauss CMT
Common mistakes advanced traders make
Stats Edge Evening Note - 9/15/26
If the Fed closes red, we buy the next open
Stats Edge Evening Note - 9/14/26
Oil over $100 is not a crash signal
Stats Edge Evening Note - 9/11/26
Stats Edge Evening Note - 9/10/26
Candles get about 20% bigger after Labor Day
Stats Edge Evening Note - 9/9/26
It is live. First trades at the open, and an open house at 11:30.
Evening Note, day one. The book starts from zero tonight.
The evening note takes 5 minutes
Stats Edge Evening Note - 9/4/26
Stats Edge Evening Note - 9/3/26
Stats Edge Evening Note - 9/2/26
September could be rough this year
Algorithmic Investment Portfolio Update
Stats Edge Evening Note - 9/1/26
What happens when a stock gives the whole day back?
Stats Edge Evening Note - 8/31/26
44 years of Jackson Hole says it’s a normal day
Stats Edge Evening Note - 8/28/26
Stats Edge Evening Note - 8/27/26
The scariest name in finance predicts nothing
Stats Edge Evening Note - 8/26/26
DKS just gapped down 20%. Bounce or knife?
How do you know a signal is worth your time?
Stats Edge Evening Note - 8/25/26
The weekly letter ends September 7
Stats Edge Evening Note - 8/24/26
Stats Edge Evening Note - 8/21/26
Stats Edge Evening Note - 8/20/26
What happens when everyone is already short?
Stats Edge Evening Note - 8/19/26
The optimal number of blown-up accounts is one.
Stats Edge Evening Note - 8/18/26
A Japanese interest rate can drop your tech stocks 5%.
Stats Edge Evening Note - 8/17/26
The Nasdaq is lagging. Everyone has it backwards.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 8/14/26
I tested 424 losing streaks since 2000
Stats Edge Morning Note - 8/12/26
The thing traders hate most about halts is the opportunity.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 8/11/26
Everyone said the unlock would crash SpaceX. It ripped.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 8/10/26
Buying a 27 percent disaster, on purpose
Gold has a buying season, and we’re front-running it.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 8/6/26
11 years of trading. Zero losing months.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 8/5/26
Strategy hopping versus moving on.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 8/4/26
Same 500 stocks. One made a record, one went nowhere.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 8/3/26
Algorithmic Investment Portfolio Update
Stats Edge Morning Note - 7/31/26
Stats Edge Morning Note - 7/30/26
He earns seven times his worst drawdown every year.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 7/29/26
Stats Edge Morning Note - 7/28/26
Commodities do nothing, and then everything.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 7/27/26
The switch to daily starts now
The AI trade is blowing up. The market doesn’t care.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 7/24/26
Stats Edge Morning Note - 7/23/26
14 years of trading. 5 losing months.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 7/22/26
Your drawdown might not be real.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 7/21/26
Everyone is short natural gas. That’s the setup.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 7/20/26
SpaceX triggered the signal this morning. Here’s the whole plan.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 7/17/26
Stats Edge Morning Note - 7/16/26
A trader doubled his money every year. Here's where he fished.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 7/15/26
No trader has ever quit at equity highs.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 7/14/26
Buffett’s record cash pile is true. The panic is not.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 7/13/26
The IPO study called a 32% crash. This time looks different.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 7/10/26
The Thursday Question: How We Actually Size A Position
Stats Edge Morning Note - 7/9/26
Semis got smashed. Here's how I'm playing it.
A handful of trades make all the money. He found out which ones in advance.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 7/8/26
100 episodes of the podcast designed not to go viral.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 7/7/26
Buying at all-time highs beats waiting for the pullback.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 7/6/26
The Mag 7 had a down month. That’s not the warning it looks like.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 7/2/26
Micron cracked 10% today. There's a trade in that.
Even Jack Schwager didn’t believe this trader’s returns. So he audited them.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 7/1/26
Steal Your Next Trading System
Stats Edge Morning Note - 6/30/26
Stats Edge Morning Note - 6/29/26
Apple dropped 5%. The data said the opposite of what I expected.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 6/26/26
Stats Edge Morning Note - 6/25/26
He studied his losing trades and turned them into a whole new strategy.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 6/24/26
Build your next strategy on the downhills, not in the drawdown.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 6/23/26
A viewer asked if I actually take these trades. Here's my 5,000 shares.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 6/22/26
The new Fed chair spooked the market. The data says buy the dip.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 6/18/26
Stats Edge Morning Note - 6/17/26
He made nearly $100 million, then stepped back to reclaim his time.
Dave's first backtest told him he was the weakest link. He was glad to hear it.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 6/16/26
The space stock call worked perfectly. Now Anthropic and OpenAI are next.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 6/15/26
SpaceX just IPO'd. The data says sell your other space stocks.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 6/12/26
Why the Exit Is Monday's Open, Not Friday's Close
Stats Edge Morning Note - 6/11/26
He turned $5,000 into $100 million. His win rate was 25%.
Stats Edge Morning Note - 6/10/26
Going from one strategy to two is harder than going from zero to one.
Stats Edge Morning Note 06/09/2026
The most boring stock on my screen just broke a multi-year ceiling.
Stats Edge Morning Note 06/08/2026
Yesterday was ugly. The plan is the same.
Tech got sold yesterday and the market held. That's the tell.
Stats Edge Morning Note 06/05/2026
Why I don't just trade my best system
Stats Edge Morning Note 06/03/2026
Stats Edge Morning Note 06/03/2026
The best traders I know didn't study finance. They learned how to learn.
Stats Edge Morning Note 06/02/2026
One idea from this week's list. It's down today, and that's why I want it.
Stats Edge Morning Note 06/01/2026
Everyone thinks the market is a bubble. Look at the equal-weight S&P.
Slow Week and Live Stream Link
Stats Edge Morning Note 05/20/2026
How much do I need to start? Less than you think.
Stats Edge Morning Note 05/28/2026
The golden cross has an 86% win rate. It still loses to buy and hold.
Stats Edge Morning Note 05/27/2026
A senior SMB Capital trader on what makes good traders great.
One free idea from this week's list. The setup I want most.
Stats Edge Morning Note 05/25/2026
Bond speculators are the most short since 2023. Small caps benefit if they're wrong.
Stats Edge Morning Note 05/22/2026
Stats Edge Morning Note 05/20/2026
Nvidia beats earnings and sells off. Again. Here's 20 years of data.
Stats Edge Morning Note 05/20/2026
IPO Spikes Don't Predict Crashes. IPO Droughts Predict Rallies.
Your AmiBroker Database Is Probably Broken. Here's How Dave Fixed His.
Stats Edge Morning Note 05/19/2026
The System Flagged Magnum Ice Cream Stock. I Wouldn't Have. That's the Point.
Stats Edge Morning Note 05/18/2026
You Lost 11% Chasing That IPO Open. The Allocators Made 70%.
Stats Edge Morning Note 05/15/2026
"How do you pick the weekly portfolio?" My answer was two words.
I Tested 190 Low-VIX Instances. The Doomers and the Bulls Are Both Wrong.
Stats Edge Morning Note 05/14/2026
The simplest way to run Stats Edge Pro (15 min per week)
A Member Tested Buying the Whole List. 25 Years of Data Says Don't.
Stats Edge Morning Note 05/13/2026
Should Delisted Stocks Be in Your Backtest? Depends What You Trade.
Alerts to Your Watch. Trades From Your Yard. Here's How It Works.
Stats Edge Morning Note 05/12/2026
Dropbox Pulled Back Into Its Own Earnings Gap. Here's the Setup.
They're Shorting Into All-Time Highs. The Data Says That's a Problem.
Stats Edge Morning Note 05/11/2026
Sell in May Doesn't Work. Except Maybe This Year.
Stats Edge Morning Note 05/07/2026
Quick question — what would make this a 10 for you?
Stats Edge Morning Note 05/07/2026
I Tested a Viral 86% Win Rate MACD Strategy. It Won 21% of the Time.
Stats Edge Morning Note 05/06/2026
Your Trading Fails Without This
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
The Pullback Setup That Ripped 60% Last Time
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
What April's Monthly Candle Just Told the Market
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Why smart money sits out mega earnings weeks
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
4 Setups Waiting For The Pullback
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Drawdowns are supposed to happen
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
CAR Stock: Anatomy Of A Rolling Short Squeeze
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
What Your Broker Won't Tell You About Fees
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Power's out, kids are coming home, still trading
The PDT Rule Is Dead — Now What?
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
The Most Hated All-Time High In History
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Why Bad Data Quietly Kills Trading Systems
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Verizon: A Textbook Mean Reversion Setup
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
The Fear and Greed Index Isn't What You Think
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Stop Guessing Strength. Measure It.
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Zoom Out. Calm Down. Trade Better.
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
It’s Not the News. It’s the Reaction.
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Exploit the Weird (Not the Obvious)
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
The Level That Changes Everything Monday
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Was Wrong About Buying Strength
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Monday’s Breakout Setup Is Simple.
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
The world is insane. Your trading doesn’t have to be.
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Trade of the Week: MBX Mean Reversion
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Amateurs Open. Pros Close. Here’s Why It Matters
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Small Account Trading: The Real Edge Is Boring
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Risk-On Might Be Back (And One Ratio Tells You First)
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups Update
Curve Fitting Is Not The Monster Under Your Bed
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups Update
Trade of the Week: SUZ and the “Boring Winner” Bull Flag
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups Update
I Backtested The “91% Win Rate” RSI Strategy
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Stop Hunting Magic Indicators.
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Boring Is Beating AI Right Now
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Why A System Trader Needs A Fun Account
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Stop Trading The Headline. Trade The Volatility.
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Built For Trading Or Just In Love With The Idea?
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
When No Trades Trigger And That Is The Edge
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Crypto Hate Zone: Why I Just Started Nibbling
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
When One Sector Implodes And The Market Shrugs
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
I Do Not Speak Python… And That Is Okay
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Mean Reversion Trade Of The Week
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Dollar Whiplash, Gold, And Your Trades
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Rare Earth Mania, Quantified With TMC
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
The Magazine Cover Indicator Is Flashing Again
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Why 24-Hour Trading Changes Everything
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
From Gut Feel To Systems Without Blowing Up Your Edge
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
How We Trade Gap-Down Mondays Without Losing Our Minds
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Where the big guys are positioned right now
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Why Prediction Markets Might Matter for Traders
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
AmiBroker, AI, and why starting ugly is the whole point
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Trade of the Week: Cisco mean reversion (CSCO)
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
How I turn a paper into a tradeable system
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
From RealTest Comfort Zone to Amibroker Shark Tank
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups
Trade of the Week: FNKO Breakout Continuation
Algorithmic Day Trading Setups